‘NPP Will Win the 2016 Elections’ – EIU Releases a Convincing Prediction


Once again, the EIU predicts NPP victory come the November polls…

The Economic Intelligence Unit has yet again predicted victory for the opposition New Patriotic Party in the 2016 elections, this time, a convincing one.

The Unit had earlier released the report of a survey that suggested the NPP would win the upcoming elections by a close margin. That was in April. But according to a new report released Thursday, the presidential and parliamentary elections in November or December is likely to be acrimonious but the NPP will turn out victorious with a convincing margin.

Also See: Ghanaians Want to See a Change for the Better – Rawlings

The report says the disillusionment being brought about by the adverse economic conditions in the country is likely to cost the ruling party their expected victory in the coming elections.

The report comes at a time the country is still reeling under a four-year-old power crisis which has affected businesses and led to loss of lives and jobs. The combined effect of increased taxes, utility bills has been an altogether increased cost of living high for many Ghanaians. According to the EIU,

Pre-election spending in 2016 will put pressure on the fiscal deficit target set in conjunction with the IMF, although the government will be more successful at resisting large-scale populist spending than in previous election years.

EIU Predicts NPP Victory – Violence Predicted too

The report made it clear that violence is a great possibility in the upcoming elections. It said the elections will expose Ghana to notable risks, some of which will come from outside.

With the reports of corruption in the country’s Judiciary and the experiences in the 2012 election petition, the report suggests none of the parties will be interested in going to the Supreme Court to challenge the verdict of the election, a situation that has raised political tensions a notch higher.

The representatives of the two parties mentioned in the reports have predictably praised portions of the report and condemned portions of it as well.

The New Patriotic Party’s Moustapha Hamid said he and his party did not need the report of EIU to know that the governing party will be humiliated in the upcoming elections.

He said he just returned on a five regional tour with the party’s running mate and can say without any equivocation that victory is sure for the NPP.

There is no way the NDC will beat us. 

I have been involved in political campaigns since 2004 but have never seen this groundswell of support for the NPP.

This is the year the people of Ghana are ready to change course.

However, Deputy General Secretary of the governing NDC Koku Anyidoho said the report is inconsistent. Wondering how the report suggests the ruling government is not doing well with the economy, he concluded that any party that eventually wins the elections will inherit a stable economy ready for a take off.

Also Read: I Deserve a Second Term – Mahama

He insisted the president has done a good job began by the late president John Mills, and the people of Ghana will give him another term to complete his job.

As EIU predicts NPP victory, and as the elections also draw nearer, Ghanaians, especially, active politicians are beginning to be put on edge as regards what will be the outcome. No matter how hot it gets, we’ll only wait and see who finally makes it to the flagstaff house.